When it comes to the Oscar ceremony, there are no categories so routinely snubbed by the telecast than the craft and technical awards. And while I can understand the average moviegoer’s lack of interest in awards that don’t feature their favorite celebrities, the craft and technical awards recognize some of the most foundational aspects to the art of cinema. Without cinematography and editing, we don’t have movies at all. Costumes, makeup and hairstyling, and production design help to build the worlds we inhabit for two hours at a time. And sound and visual effects can allow us to stay fully immersed us in those worlds.
Whenever I think about who I believe should win in these categories, I’m often trying to consider what nominees’ work best serves their film. I know it’s easy to get swept away by beautiful shots of the gorgeous countryside, but I’m always looking to see the ways lighting and shot composition serve the narrative and thematic concerns of the film, or the ways the film’s makeup choices help to tell the story.
It has become a bit easier to predict most of these categories if you pay attention to the guild awards during the leadup to the Oscars – though there can still be some surprises and some difficult calls since the guilds can define their categories a little differently than the Oscars. But given the history of the Oscars and this year’s nominees, I’m still fairly certain in my predictions here.
Best Cinematography
James Friend captures the horror of war in his cinematography for All Quiet on the Western Front, using a desaturated color palate and harsh, unforgiving lighting for the trenches and battle sequences – many of which use a handheld or shoulder-mounted camera to place us within the chaos. With BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths, Darius Khondji combines moments of documentary realism with absurdist fantasy and surrealism, extravagant parties and harsh barren landscapes – all of which required their own unique visual style and camera techniques (loose and handheld at one moment, flowing long shots the next). Showbiz glitz and glamour – as well as its carnivalesque atmosphere – is breathtakingly captured in Mandy Walker’s cinematography for Elvis, revealing an artificiality and menace below the surface of success and fame. There’s a luminous classicism to Roger Deacon’s work in Empire of Light, a warmth and glow that captures the nostalgic magic of the moviegoing experience, though his lighting of Black characters often leaves them shadowed and obscured next to their white costars. The lead character in TÁR begins the film with an icy and aloof detachment that allows her to feel superior to everyone around her, and Florian Hoffmeister’s cinematography manages to convey that iciness and remove through the cooler color grading, while still making room for the moments of psychological terror she experiences to be conveyed primarily through the interplay of light and shadow.
Prediction: Elvis
Spoiler: All Quiet on the Western Front
Preference: TÁR (though I’d be very happy to see BARDO win)
Best Editing
Prediction: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Spoiler: Top Gun: Maverick
Preference: Everything Everywhere All at Once (though I’d be happy to see Banshees or TÁR win in this category as well)
Best Costume Design
Prediction: Elvis
Spoiler: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Preference: Everything Everywhere All at Once (though I’d be equally happy if Babylon won)
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Prediction: The Whale
Spoiler: All Quiet on the Western Front
Preference: All Quiet on the Western Front
Best Production Design
Prediction: Babylon
Spoiler: All Quiet on the Western Front
Preference: Babylon
Best Sound
Prediction: Top Gun: Maverick
Spoiler: All Quiet on the Western Front
Preference: All Quiet on the Western Front
Best Visual Effects
Prediction: Avatar: The Way of Water
Spoiler: Top Gun: Maverick
Preference: All Quiet on the Western Front (though I must grudgingly admit that I’m very impressed by the effects work in Top Gun, much as I didn’t care for the movie)
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Author: Josh Hornbeck
Josh is the founder of Cinema Cocktail, and he is a writer and director, podcaster and critic, and communications and marketing professional living and working in the greater Seattle area. View all posts by Josh Hornbeck